Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.773086 19.052259 21.622136 24.753336 28.490920 32.841360 38.335337
2025-08-31 13.408726 16.193470 19.596817 24.124840 30.087608 37.812115 48.815227
2025-09-07 11.592157 14.575803 18.424027 23.864660 31.550643 42.332310 59.199955
2025-09-14 10.010627 12.957670 16.910561 22.757692 31.473059 44.488088 66.467325
2025-09-21 8.769104 11.613000 15.548167 21.585894 30.992534 45.802350 72.533939
2025-09-28 7.927657 10.716131 14.684746 20.981595 31.205783 48.134905 80.752338
2025-10-05 8.076338 11.230657 15.899449 23.668079 37.058929 60.953197 111.843662
2025-10-12 7.765773 11.024938 15.990604 24.553898 40.007661 69.258627 136.889417
2025-10-19 7.153416 10.299903 15.189929 23.834592 39.948200 71.770759 149.964601
2025-10-26 6.915729 10.134067 15.261505 24.615223 42.791062 80.741027 181.979720
2025-11-02 6.496776 9.642839 14.747240 24.278562 43.388690 85.031739 203.589735
2025-11-09 6.102728 9.161558 14.205706 23.824324 43.667759 88.655285 224.908139
2025-11-16 5.764643 8.763760 13.799706 23.631910 44.585302 94.316505 256.439427
2025-11-23 5.392235 8.283358 13.211351 23.024667 44.520978 97.595531 282.282940
2025-11-30 5.110541 7.936514 12.829937 22.780307 45.228423 103.087536 319.685868
2025-12-07 4.742692 7.416915 12.094830 21.737007 43.914032 102.732251 334.170481
2025-12-14 4.397730 6.917651 11.363245 20.631729 42.300676 101.194515 343.220765
2025-12-21 4.151361 6.578345 10.906246 20.061353 41.918636 103.238494 370.147714
2025-12-28 4.307836 6.965025 11.845536 22.595065 49.824843 133.564104 567.532945
2026-01-04 4.245821 6.949634 12.006829 23.429435 53.473918 151.596479 725.689571
2026-01-11 4.023720 6.624774 11.532235 22.751947 52.809153 153.947145 783.829817
2026-01-18 3.963390 6.598800 11.654558 23.487180 56.341397 173.640197 1004.670857
2026-01-25 3.802113 6.372248 11.351728 23.170147 56.702939 180.878446 1136.661959